Barclays Capital expects high losses on collateral backing most most non-agency securitizations including jumbo, Alt-A, and option adjustable-rate mortgages. For example, the firm expects more than 70% losses on ’07 vintage subprime pools, and 15-30% on most jumbo pools. But as this has already been priced into the market, Barclays said double-digit yields in select non-agency areas remains possible. “This is not to say that there are no risks in owning non-agencies at current levels,” Barclays researchers said in a report Friday. “As we have maintained over the past few weeks, there is little upside from fundamental credit performance for non-agencies. Overall default expectations remain fairly high.” Barclays noted, however, that the loss-adjusted unleveraged yields in non-agencies remain much higher than for other comparable securities. Unleveraged yields on non-agencies range from 6-8% among Reverse REMIC to 20-25% among mezzanine triple-As, while unleveraged yields on other securities range from 1.5-4.5% among consumer asset-backed securities to 9-11% among agency mortgage-backed securities. Risk premium has been shrinking as real money investors looking for the high yields edged into the space in the recent weeks. Barclays also expects significant demand from PPIP managers. Ratings-related risk has become minimal, Barclays noted, as few securities remain triple-A rated. “Along with these factors, we believe that the strong Re-REMIC bid will also provide some support to non-agency prices in the near term,” Barclays said. Write to Diana Golobay.
Barclays Warns of High Losses in Non-Agency Securities
Most Popular Articles
While many homebuilders, such as D.R. Horton and Tri Pointe Homes, significantly reduced the number of new home starts over the last quarter amid sluggish homebuyer demand, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is taking a different approach, akin to that of Lennar. Pace over price. The builder’s strategy reflects a commitment to affordability and serving the […]
-
Mortgage rate declines are raising the likelihood of a refi surge
Mar 19, 2026By Neil Pierson -
Homebuilders Urged To Invest In Frontline Jobsite Workers Now
Mar 19, 2026By Tyler Williams -
How hybrid operations are elevating builder performance
Apr 30, 2026 9:50 amBy Adam Johnston -
HousingWire Mortgage Rankings have arrived, bringing data-driven benchmark to originator performance
Apr 30, 2026By bfrize -
After An Involuntary Pause, Orders Matter Again For LGI
Mar 20, 2026By John McManus
Latest Articles
HousingWire on Tuesday announced the launch of the HousingWire Mortgage Rankings, a new performance intelligence product designed to provide a clear, data-driven view of mortgage origination activity across the U.S. The rankings benchmark mortgage originators based on observed production, offering a standardized view of performance across geographies, loan types and channels. Historically, the mortgage industry has lacked […]