Among the week-to-week spectator sport homebuilders and related fields are riveted to most right now, the inventory vigil ranks right up there.

The comparisons, year-on-year say one thing, while sequential current week versus prior week comps are where the drama lies.

For instance, as

Source: Image courtesy of Calculated Risk

What this chart means is that it’s time to sharpen reforecasting pencils and get to work on models that – over time – reflect softening prices, perhaps a surge in resales, and less pronounced demand on the new-home development pipeline.

This is not solely a signal for finance and accounting types, but rather a moment to up the game in customer care and focus, as those customers’ alternatives – at more price points – are about to expand.

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