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Government shutdown seeps into overall economic growth

Should shrink fourth-quarter growth

According to Bloomberg, a three-to-four week government shutdown would reduce fourth-quarter economic growth by as much as 1.4 percentage points depending on its length, as government workers are furloughed.  

A shutdown would slow the expansion because output lost when workers are furloughed subtracts from gross domestic product. The combined prospect of a budget standoff between the White House and Congress and haggling over the debt ceiling could have a bigger impact on the economy as businesses hold off on investment and households delay spending.

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Lower mortgage rates attracting more homebuyers 

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. That’s ok — very few people are looking at the data without an agenda. However, the point of this tracker is to show you evidence that lower rates have already changed housing data. So, let’s […]

3d rendering of a row of luxury townhouses along a street

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